"But it's remarkable to have two potential tropical cyclones at the same time during mid-June", the website added. Potential tropical cyclone two is east of the Winward Islands, while another area is near the Yucatan Peninsula. "The system will not give us a direct impact, but it will bring light rain on and off from Monday through the middle of the week as it moves along the Gulf Coast region". A hurricane hunter aircraft Monday flew into it and a second storm approaching the southern Caribbean Sea, its first flight of the tropical season.
The two tropical weather disturbances being monitored by the National Hurricane Center are highly likely to form within the next 48 hours.
Forecasters have the system tracking north, possibly threatening the coasts of Louisiana or Texas.
The next named storm will be Bret, followed by Cindy.
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The storm system is not yet organized enough for the NHC to declare it a tropical storm though its maximum sustained winds reach tropical storm strength of 39 miles per hour or greater.
Satellite analysis shows strong sheer continuing over the Gulf of Mexico which would diminish the chances for a strong storm. The metros (and surrounding suburbs) of New Orleans and Houston could see large impacts from this system depending on the exact track.
Deteriorating conditions with pockets of moderate to heavy showers, thunderstorms and gusty winds are expected spread across Barbados late tomorrow into Tuesday. It is also pretty far south and in an unlikely area of development.
The National Weather Service in Mobile said rain chances along Alabama's Gulf Coast will begin to increase starting tonight as tropical moisture streams northward.
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Tropical storm warnings have been issued for Trinidad and Tobago, Grenada and Venezuela from Pedernales to Cumana including Isla de Margarita.
There is high confidence in the development of this low into a tropical system, but the confidence level is much lower in regards to the movement.
It is expected to move over the southern or central Gulf of Mexico later Monday and Tuesday, where a tropical or subtropical cyclone is likely to form. At 2 p.m., the system was located about 240 miles east, southeast of Trinidad and moving at about 25 mph with sustained winds of 40 mph.
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